UFC 192 Betting

Gustafsson vs. Comier

Should be a great fight. I dont see how Gus wins though. Comer is all the way up to 1.40 , great odds for a champ that does not make many mistakes.

Ruslan Magomedov vs Shawn Jordan

Shawn Jordan does have KO power and some good wrestling but I see Magomedov with better striking and faster.
Ruslan Magomedov for 1.562

Hendricks sent to doctor due to weight cut issues and possible kidney stone.

 

Hendricks vs. Woodley

This could be really similar to Lawler vs. Hendricks. These two should cancel each other out on wrestling. On the feet Hendricks is more aggressive while Woodley stands back and waits for the fight to come to him. Both guys have KO power. This is a five round fight and Hendricks has the advantage in the cardo department.

The odds

I dont really like 1.324 for Hendricks, I see the fight a lot closer. 3.696 is good for Woodley but I only see him winning via KO or TKO. 

LEAN Hendricks

Play – Hendricks ML – Prop Woodley by KO


Posted in MMA

UFC 187 Betting Picks


These guys are fast, and Dodson has KO power. The odds for a Dodson win are not that great and the way he fights this could end suddenly at anytime so tough bet there.

Hall is a beast, he should not have a problem winning this. The issue is that he is too nice. He lacks killer instinct sometimes. After watching the weigh ins where he pushes I dont think this will be an issue.

Co main events are stacked. Travis Brown is big and he has very good footwork and is fast. He moves like a basketball player. AA is a MMA legend, also fast and with KO power not to mention all the ring time but I do not see how he can win unless Brown makes a big mistake. He is not faster than Brown which is an advantage that AA has over some other HW. Odds are not great for a Brown win though. Cowboy, we know what he is going to do. Push the action with Muay Thai and BJJ. Odds are really not worth the risk for him winning though and I dont see how Makdessi wins unless Cerrone does something really out of style.

This is an interesting match up. Burkman coming off a win to Hector Lumbard and Dong Hyun Kim coming off a loss from Woods. Before his loss he was on a nice winning streak. Is DHK ready to get back on the W side or is Burkman a real underrated fighter? No matter who you think is going to take this one the odds are good for the favorite and the underdog here.

Weidman vs. Belfort , New vs. Old,  Volume vs. Power – Belfort plenty of KOs , lots of 1st round finishes. Explosive, Power when you are in trouble he swarms like no other world class BJJ. Weidman hard grinder, good striking high level wrestling cardo till next week, comes on strong in late rounds. This is an epic match up, Im sure Weidman´s corner is going to tell him something like “put a hole through his fu**kn face” and Belfort, well he is already going nuts without you needing to tell him.  Even though Weidman is the favorite and rightfully so I like this 5.045 for Belfort and I think that is underrating what he can do. Watch Belfort vs. Jones again and then tell me why this should be 5.045

 

Corminer vs. Johnson – Volume vs. Power Part 2! This is a very similar match up! The main difference is that both of these guys wrestling is good with Cormier having the upper hand on paper. AJ has never been in a title match and is not known for having great cardo but has looked like a pure animal since he moved up a weight class and has not had to stress the weight cut, this should help his cardio. AJs stand up has looked really good and Cormier lost to Jones, but did not do “that bad” considering Jones is a meat grinder. I agree with the odds makers making this a throw up and I like the over 2. 5 rounds at 1.7 , I expect war.


UFC Fight for the Troops 3 Nov 6th Betting Picks

UFC Fight for the Troops 3 Nov 6th
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC:_Fight_for_the_Troops_3

Im not going to make a ton of picks for this one but lets take a look at some of the fights.

Rafael Natal 4.15 vs. Tim Kennedy 1.276
Kennedy WIN

Alexis Davis 2.86 vs. Liz Carmouche 1.48
Davis is a good fighter. Carmauche is better. She is tough, has power and came the closest to betting
Rousey than any other woman so far. As a bonus she is ex-miltary so its a home game. I like the
value at 1.48 (almost as if the bookers didnt want to write 1.50 to attract to many bets 😉
Carmouche WIN

Colton Smith 2.4 vs. Michael Chiesa 1.645
2 TUF winners, but two different fighters. Smith is has more of a wrestle f*ck style. He will
just try to overwork you and hold you down for the most part. Hey, he is a tough guy and
should be modivated since he is ex-military. BUT Chiesa is better in every area, ok if it was a
wrestling match for points and not mma then I would say Smith, but its not. 1.645 is enough
to get me to lay it on the line WIN Chiesa

George Roop 2.0 vs. Francisco Rivera 1.909
[b]Do not bet[/b] Roop is an example of the type of guy to avoid when betting.
No matter what you think of him as a fighter from a betting point of view he is
poision, to hard to tell what he will do , Rivera is not bad. If you like flipping a coin
and you normaly play one of those bitcoin dice games then this fight is for you!

Remember in MMA anything can happen! Bet at your own risk! These are my suggestions only, do your own research too! Just because you think someone is going to win doesnt always mean that it is a good bet ie a good value, use your brain!


Bitbook Bitcoin Sportsbook

UFC

UFC 165
Sept 21

Safest:
ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON
JON JONES

Bet
Jones defeats Gustafasson
best odds at betcoinsports.com -740

Best value underdog:
ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON
JON JONES

Gustafsson defeats Jones
best odds at bitbook.biz and bitcoinsports.eu +601

Best value overall:
BRENDAN SCHAUB
MATT MITRIONE

Mitrione defeats Schaub
odds at -110 at most sportsbooks

Parlay
Nurmagomedov-Mitrione-Jones
Nurmagomedov-Mitrione
Mitrione-Jones
Nurmagomedov-Jones

Bet at your own risk , in MMA anything can happen