UFC 187 Betting Picks


These guys are fast, and Dodson has KO power. The odds for a Dodson win are not that great and the way he fights this could end suddenly at anytime so tough bet there.

Hall is a beast, he should not have a problem winning this. The issue is that he is too nice. He lacks killer instinct sometimes. After watching the weigh ins where he pushes I dont think this will be an issue.

Co main events are stacked. Travis Brown is big and he has very good footwork and is fast. He moves like a basketball player. AA is a MMA legend, also fast and with KO power not to mention all the ring time but I do not see how he can win unless Brown makes a big mistake. He is not faster than Brown which is an advantage that AA has over some other HW. Odds are not great for a Brown win though. Cowboy, we know what he is going to do. Push the action with Muay Thai and BJJ. Odds are really not worth the risk for him winning though and I dont see how Makdessi wins unless Cerrone does something really out of style.

This is an interesting match up. Burkman coming off a win to Hector Lumbard and Dong Hyun Kim coming off a loss from Woods. Before his loss he was on a nice winning streak. Is DHK ready to get back on the W side or is Burkman a real underrated fighter? No matter who you think is going to take this one the odds are good for the favorite and the underdog here.

Weidman vs. Belfort , New vs. Old,  Volume vs. Power – Belfort plenty of KOs , lots of 1st round finishes. Explosive, Power when you are in trouble he swarms like no other world class BJJ. Weidman hard grinder, good striking high level wrestling cardo till next week, comes on strong in late rounds. This is an epic match up, Im sure Weidman´s corner is going to tell him something like “put a hole through his fu**kn face” and Belfort, well he is already going nuts without you needing to tell him.  Even though Weidman is the favorite and rightfully so I like this 5.045 for Belfort and I think that is underrating what he can do. Watch Belfort vs. Jones again and then tell me why this should be 5.045

 

Corminer vs. Johnson – Volume vs. Power Part 2! This is a very similar match up! The main difference is that both of these guys wrestling is good with Cormier having the upper hand on paper. AJ has never been in a title match and is not known for having great cardo but has looked like a pure animal since he moved up a weight class and has not had to stress the weight cut, this should help his cardio. AJs stand up has looked really good and Cormier lost to Jones, but did not do “that bad” considering Jones is a meat grinder. I agree with the odds makers making this a throw up and I like the over 2. 5 rounds at 1.7 , I expect war.


UFC 168: Weidman vs. Silva 2 Betting Picks

Christmas time is over. IIIITTTTSSS TIME!
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Chris Leben 3.55 vs. Uriah Hall
Both of these guys are fighting to stay in the UFC. If you like fighting then you know how Leben fights. Its not pretty, technical, or fancy but damn if he cant fight. Hall is the exact opposite, fancy, technical and gifted. Leben with less skills has a huge heart and hall with tons of skills has shown that he is lacking in willingness to get into a real FIGHT. I see Leben as the worst match up for Hall, Leben might get really beat up in the first but if he survives I think its over for Hall. Look for Leben to push Hall up against the fence, and go into “I hit you , I dont care if you hit me” mode and just be too much uglyness for Hall to deal with.

Manny Gamburyan vs. Dennis Siver 1.408 Siver has lost a few but just take a look to who he lost to, he is hard to put away and big for the division.

Diego Brandao vs. Dustin Poirier
Cant decide- if you can bet FOTN then this could be it.

Fabricio Camoes vs. Jim Miller 1.273 Look for Miller to grind out a win.

Travis Browne vs. Josh Barnett 1.53 Best value on the card, do you really see Browne beating Barnett??

Miesha Tate 7.35 vs. Ronda Rousey yea yea yea, everyone has been waiting for this. From a betting point of view I am willing to bet that Tate can somehow win for 7.35! Holy batshit. But seriously, If this goes past the first Tate could manage to knock out Rousey. Its worth 7.35

Chris Weidman vs. Anderson Silva 1.62 Stop watching all of the UFC hype videos. Road to UFC blah, that hype up Weidman. Can Weidman take AS down? Probaly not, you really think that he can stand with AS when AS is not playing clown? No way. 1.62 for Anderson Silva, say that a few times and tell me that is not a good value. Hell I even think this will go under 1.5 rounds for 1.854

These are my picks, dont bet the house, do your own research.

UFC on FOX 9 Betting Picks Johnson vs. Benavidez II

Saturday, December 14, 8:00 PM ET
Sleep Train Arena
Sacramento, California
UFC on Fox 9
TITLE FIGHT
Johnson vs. Benavidez II
Under 4.5 Rounds for 2.55so lets hope SOMEBODY finishes this fight before halfway of the last round, imo 2.55 is a good bet.

Mac Danzig vs. Joe Lauzon
Both of these guys are tough. I see Lauzon winning this and it could even have a suprise fight of the night honor. Lauzon is a good value at 1.57 WIN LAUZON for 1.57

I dont like the odds for Chad Mendes to beat Nik Lentz , not worth the risk. Im not going to touch Michael McDonald vs. Urijah Faber not really sure about that one.
GOOD LUCK
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HUNT vs BIGFOOT: UFC Fight Night 33 BETTING PICKS

Soa Palelei vs. Pat Barry
I wouldnt bet on a Pat Barry fight. Fun to watch ,but inconsitant and horrible ground game.
The under 1.5 round bet looks good. Barry KOs Palelei or Barry makes a dumb mistake and gets subbed.
UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS for 1.584

Anthony Perosh vs. Ryan Bader
Bader is not too fun to watch, but he should be able to get the job done in this one.
WIN BADER for 1.213

James Te Huna vs. Mauricio Rua
The trading of the guard. One carrer is slowly coming to an end and another is starting to take off.
This could be FOTN , really depends on which Rua we see. The odds are worth betting on Te Huna.
WIN TE HUNA for 1.884

Antonio Silva vs. Mark Hunt
Im not going to predict this one, I am a fan of both fighters.
Even the odds on over under 1.5 rounds are too close to really make a good bet.

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UFC Fight for the Troops 3 Nov 6th Betting Picks

UFC Fight for the Troops 3 Nov 6th
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC:_Fight_for_the_Troops_3

Im not going to make a ton of picks for this one but lets take a look at some of the fights.

Rafael Natal 4.15 vs. Tim Kennedy 1.276
Kennedy WIN

Alexis Davis 2.86 vs. Liz Carmouche 1.48
Davis is a good fighter. Carmauche is better. She is tough, has power and came the closest to betting
Rousey than any other woman so far. As a bonus she is ex-miltary so its a home game. I like the
value at 1.48 (almost as if the bookers didnt want to write 1.50 to attract to many bets 😉
Carmouche WIN

Colton Smith 2.4 vs. Michael Chiesa 1.645
2 TUF winners, but two different fighters. Smith is has more of a wrestle f*ck style. He will
just try to overwork you and hold you down for the most part. Hey, he is a tough guy and
should be modivated since he is ex-military. BUT Chiesa is better in every area, ok if it was a
wrestling match for points and not mma then I would say Smith, but its not. 1.645 is enough
to get me to lay it on the line WIN Chiesa

George Roop 2.0 vs. Francisco Rivera 1.909
[b]Do not bet[/b] Roop is an example of the type of guy to avoid when betting.
No matter what you think of him as a fighter from a betting point of view he is
poision, to hard to tell what he will do , Rivera is not bad. If you like flipping a coin
and you normaly play one of those bitcoin dice games then this fight is for you!

Remember in MMA anything can happen! Bet at your own risk! These are my suggestions only, do your own research too! Just because you think someone is going to win doesnt always mean that it is a good bet ie a good value, use your brain!


Bitbook Bitcoin Sportsbook

UFC

UFC 165
Sept 21

Safest:
ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON
JON JONES

Bet
Jones defeats Gustafasson
best odds at betcoinsports.com -740

Best value underdog:
ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON
JON JONES

Gustafsson defeats Jones
best odds at bitbook.biz and bitcoinsports.eu +601

Best value overall:
BRENDAN SCHAUB
MATT MITRIONE

Mitrione defeats Schaub
odds at -110 at most sportsbooks

Parlay
Nurmagomedov-Mitrione-Jones
Nurmagomedov-Mitrione
Mitrione-Jones
Nurmagomedov-Jones

Bet at your own risk , in MMA anything can happen

UFC 162 Betting

UFC 162 Betting Tips
Here are betting tips for UFC 162
Dennis Siver to beat Cub Swanson
Siver is an underdog at Sports Interaction has him at 2.90. We think that is a good value for what should be a great fight. Single bet for Siver.

Chris Weidman v Anderson Silva

We will also take a single bet on Silva for 1.30
Not sure if I can remember the last time Silva was anywhere near 1.30 for a fight.
-best value Silva for 1.36 at Bovada, are they crazy?-
Charles Oliveira v Frank Edgar
Edgar at 1.18 just isnt worth it. Oliverira at 5.00 is what it is, a longshot at best.
Sports Interaction Bovada