Dustin Poirier vs. Joseph Duffy – Odds

Last Fights from Poirier and Duffy


Odds:


Dustin Poirier vs. Joseph Duffy
Good match up here and I do not think this one will go the distance. Both fighters have a lot of finishes in the first or second round. There is a story line where Poirier wants to avenge his loss to Mc Gregor via the Irish Duffy. These guys are going to come to finish and are not going to be happy with going to the judges cards. Prop bet that the fight does not go the distance at 5dimes or the under 1.5 rounds are good bets.


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UFC 195 Betting Odds

Just some quick thoughts on the odds, no hard picks yet but this looks like a repeat of the last card really. Two undervalued underdogs and a title fight that has good under 4.5 rounds value.

Gastelum vs. Noke – Gastelum has proven that he is a well rounded fighter. That being said I just cant see going with him at 1.209. Noke has proven that he comes to fight. His last fight ended quickly when he won by brutal liver kick in round one. Noke at 5.045 looks worth it at first glance.

Mioic vs. Arolovski – This should be a great fight. Mioic a young fighter with a lot of sucsess. Very technical striking, cardo without end and good wrestling defense. Aroloski a MMA legend is making a come back as of late and is training at the Jackson camp. Right now Arolski looks great at 3.0 but anything less is not worth it. Mioic could chop his legs up but I can see Arolovski having a good game plan and excuting it to a T.

 

Lawler vs. Condit – These guys both have a lot of finishes. With some fighters Condit does fight more on the outside and forces people to chase him around. Not sure if this will be the case here but the value here is in the under 4.5 rounds. I can see Lawler getting the TKO or Condit catching him in a flurry or some clean hook.


Lawler at last title fight in case you forgot

UFC on FOX – Dos Anjos vs Cerrone – Betting



Michael Johnson vs Nathan Diaz
Johnson has really developed as fighter and I think everyone sees why he is a favorit here. For 1.20 I do not like the risk reward. Nate Diaz is a real threat, standing up his boxing could cause some problems for Johnson, as well as his submission game. I see Johnson staying on the outside and trying to win on points and going for some reactive takedowns. I see Nate trying to walk down Johnson most of the fight, or Nate trying to get a sub off his back. With 4.585 I will go for the possible TKO from Nate or him getting some damage done standing and getting the sub, or PASS.

Junior Dos Santos vs Alistair Overeem
This should be a great fight to watch. Two elite strikers meet in the octagon. Dos Santos took so much damage in the battles with Cain, but he is still around. I really do not want to see him in another fight like that. Overeem has not done really well in the UFC but has improved his game and stays more on the outside and gives the other person trying to smash him more respect. The question here is has Overeem learned enough and improved his MMA figher IQ. A lot of people are going to jump on Dos Santos sighting Overeems weak jaw. However I think they are forgeting that Overeem called Dos Santos out here, he asked for this fight and I like the match up. Dos Santos is known for his hands and that is about it, he does kick at times but not much and he is not known for his take downs. Overeem using brutal leg kicks and punishing any take down attempts with maybe the best knees in MMA is what we will see. I like the odds here nearly 4:1 for Overrem rather than risking 1.29 on JDS that he doesnt get TKOed by a Overeem liver kick.

Rafael Dos Anjos vs Donald Cerrone

These guys are going to bring it, why the under 4.5 is paying over 2 I have no idea. 4 rounds of these guys in the ring should produce one tko. I can see the public betting on Cowboy, if it will be enough to move the line? There are a few ways to play this just a single bet on the under 4.5 or bet on Cerrone and prop Dos Anjos by TKO. If the line gets a much higher for Dos Anjos then I wold pull the trigger on the single there, best to see how these lines play out.
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